San Carlos, Sonora, Mexico Forums Home 

San Carlos Mexico Forum
Welcome to our forum. In order to post in our forums you must be registered. Please take a minute to register to enjoy the full benefits of the forum. Registration is FREE and your information is kept private. When registering, please make sure your email address is entered correctly-if incorrect, you will not receive your validation message. Please do not use your email address as your user name for your own privacy and security. Gmail account users should check spam or trash folders for our validation message after initial registration. We also suggest you add host@sancarlosmexico.com to your white list.

This message board requires you to register in order to post new topics, reply to topics started by other users, start polls, or vote on polls. As a registered user, you can edit your own posts, upload photos and view our photo gallery, and send private messages to other members of the board. Registered users can keep track of the topics they are interested in, and receive e-mail notifications when someone posts to one of those topics. Registered users can choose a theme and setup a profile, to include hometown, email & web address and avatar if desired.
We do ask that you post in the appropriate forum-look over the subjects and topics of all forums including the mercado section before making your first post. Posts in the wrong forum or not related to San Carlos may be moved or deleted without notice.
Please take a moment and register to enjoy all the benefits of the forum.
Bienvenidos!

 Moderated by: bartmanaz Page:    1  2  Next Page Last Page  
New Topic Reply Printer Friendly
Possible storm on the horizon  Rate Topic 
AuthorPost
 Posted: Tue Aug 20th, 2019 02:53 am
  PM Quote Reply
1st Post
RichD
Member
 

Joined: Wed Dec 7th, 2005
Location:  
Posts: 2056
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
A system just starting up way down South.  Computer models have it coming in the neighborhood.  Still way early, just keep an eye on it. 

Attached Image (viewed 657 times):

Capture.JPG

Back To Top PM Quote Reply  

 Posted: Tue Aug 20th, 2019 06:43 pm
  PM Quote Reply
2nd Post
chinSCmex
Member
 

Joined: Sun Jun 30th, 2019
Location:  
Posts: 12
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 

Can you tell me a good place to get the satellite view of these storms?
Chuck

Back To Top PM Quote Reply

 Posted: Tue Aug 20th, 2019 06:52 pm
  PM Quote Reply
3rd Post
kiteboarder
Member


Joined: Mon May 31st, 2010
Location: San Carlos Nuevo Guaymas, Mexico
Posts: 184
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
There are several decent maps.
Here is one.
https://dsx.weather.com/util/image/map/mexsat_1280x720.jpg?v=ap&w=1280&h=720&api=7db9fe61-7414-47b5-9871-e17d87b8b6a0

Back To Top PM Quote Reply  

 Posted: Tue Aug 20th, 2019 07:01 pm
  PM Quote Reply
4th Post
Hook
Member
 

Joined: Wed Oct 26th, 2005
Location: Mexico
Posts: 3381
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
For one, single click of a mouse, it's hard to beat this site for comprehensive information. The NOAA text discussion, predicted paths, many sat and radar views, wind and wave map. Both American and Mexican sources. It is a consolidation of data from a number of sources.

eebmike.com

Back To Top PM Quote Reply

 Posted: Tue Aug 20th, 2019 07:15 pm
  PM Quote Reply
5th Post
RichD
Member
 

Joined: Wed Dec 7th, 2005
Location:  
Posts: 2056
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
I agree Hook. A lot of information in one place. Who knows if this current storm is going to come close but it is the time of year when storms are more likely to hug the coast or hook back East after going West of the Baja. Early storms seem to go straight West quite often.

Back To Top PM Quote Reply  

 Posted: Tue Aug 20th, 2019 07:29 pm
  PM Quote Reply
6th Post
Hook
Member
 

Joined: Wed Oct 26th, 2005
Location: Mexico
Posts: 3381
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
This season really feels like it is late. Have there been any named storms in the eastern Pacific yet? I havent been paying that much attention.

Back To Top PM Quote Reply

 Posted: Tue Aug 20th, 2019 07:35 pm
  PM Quote Reply
7th Post
frankie
Member


Joined: Fri Sep 1st, 2017
Location:  
Posts: 887
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
i have to agree the season seems late! also my favorite weather site of the three i use is http://www.eebmike.com

Last edited on Tue Aug 20th, 2019 07:36 pm by frankie

Back To Top PM Quote Reply  

 Posted: Tue Aug 20th, 2019 09:00 pm
  PM Quote Reply
8th Post
MARIGOT
Member


Joined: Wed Aug 5th, 2009
Location:  
Posts: 1005
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
Eight named storms so far...next up is Ivo.

Back To Top PM Quote Reply

 Posted: Tue Aug 20th, 2019 10:10 pm
  PM Quote Reply
9th Post
Bullshipper
Member
 

Joined: Thu Aug 23rd, 2012
Location:  
Posts: 1830
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
Hook wrote: This season really feels like it is late. Have there been any named storms in the eastern Pacific yet? I havent been paying that much attention.

Water was and stayed cooler than normal here this year, so perhaps that was the case down south too.

Back To Top PM Quote Reply  

 Posted: Wed Aug 21st, 2019 02:12 am
  PM Quote Reply
10th Post
Hook
Member
 

Joined: Wed Oct 26th, 2005
Location: Mexico
Posts: 3381
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
From Wikipedia:

****The 2019 Pacific hurricane season is an ongoing event in the annual cycle of tropical cyclone formation, in which tropical cyclones form in the eastern Pacific Ocean. The season officially began on May 15 in the East Pacific Ocean, and on June 1 in the Central Pacific; they will both end on November 30. These dates conventionally delimit the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Pacific basin. However, the formation of tropical cyclones is possible at any time of the year. The season had a slow start, with no tropical cyclones forming in the basin during the month of May for the first time since 2016 (though Hurricane Pali formed in January 2016), and the first time that no storms formed before the month of June since 2011. The season became the latest-starting Pacific hurricane season on record since reliable records began in 1971, with the first tropical depression forming on June 25.****

Back To Top PM Quote Reply

 Posted: Wed Aug 21st, 2019 03:09 pm
  PM Quote Reply
11th Post
RichD
Member
 

Joined: Wed Dec 7th, 2005
Location:  
Posts: 2056
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
The National Hurricane Center has issued a forecasted path.  They are calling for this storm to stay well off shore.  Good news but things change so would advise to follow it until it is over.  

Attached Image (viewed 448 times):

Capture.JPG

Back To Top PM Quote Reply  

 Posted: Wed Aug 21st, 2019 03:31 pm
  PM Quote Reply
12th Post
MARIGOT
Member


Joined: Wed Aug 5th, 2009
Location:  
Posts: 1005
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
Thanks for the good news...I hope it takes that path, or goes further west.

Back To Top PM Quote Reply

 Posted: Wed Aug 21st, 2019 05:23 pm
  PM Quote Reply
13th Post
chinSCmex
Member
 

Joined: Sun Jun 30th, 2019
Location:  
Posts: 12
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
Thanks for the info.

Back To Top PM Quote Reply  

 Posted: Wed Aug 21st, 2019 05:26 pm
  PM Quote Reply
14th Post
RichD
Member
 

Joined: Wed Dec 7th, 2005
Location:  
Posts: 2056
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
The NHC sometimes gets it wrong but they are way more reliable than Windy and other sites IMO. Will see if they make changes in the next few days.

Back To Top PM Quote Reply

 Posted: Fri Aug 23rd, 2019 12:29 pm
  PM Quote Reply
15th Post
frankie
Member


Joined: Fri Sep 1st, 2017
Location:  
Posts: 887
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
lots of strong winds thursday! this friday morning we are getting some light sprinkles here on the west end of town!

Back To Top PM Quote Reply  

 Posted: Fri Aug 23rd, 2019 01:07 pm
  PM Quote Reply
16th Post
Hook
Member
 

Joined: Wed Oct 26th, 2005
Location: Mexico
Posts: 3381
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
Some weakening has started. Expected to be a remnant low after 72 hours.

Its remnant moisture probably will bring rain to much of Sonora.

Back To Top PM Quote Reply

 Posted: Fri Aug 23rd, 2019 01:08 pm
  PM Quote Reply
17th Post
m620c
Member
 

Joined: Tue Feb 19th, 2019
Location:  
Posts: 29
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
The strong winds and light sprinkles have nothing to do with tropical storm Ivo.  Ivo has lost a lot of strength and is rapidly weakening.

Back To Top PM Quote Reply  

 Posted: Fri Aug 23rd, 2019 01:51 pm
  PM Quote Reply
18th Post
Bullshipper
Member
 

Joined: Thu Aug 23rd, 2012
Location:  
Posts: 1830
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
It poured in Hermosillo yesterday afternoon

Back To Top PM Quote Reply

 Posted: Fri Aug 23rd, 2019 02:46 pm
  PM Quote Reply
19th Post
Hook
Member
 

Joined: Wed Oct 26th, 2005
Location: Mexico
Posts: 3381
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
On many of my returning years in October and early November, I have noticed that Northern Sonora can be very green from Nogales through Hermosillo; only to give way to greens and browns the closer I got to San Carlos.

Based on watching sat and radar images for the entire area, San Carlos's increased distance from the Sierra Madres seems to allow the west-moving thunderstorms to dissipate before they actually arrive in San Carlos. Hermosillo is closer to this regular summer phenomenon.

San Carlos also doesn't have the extreme heat-producing desert flatlands all around it that encourages the rapid rise in hot air. When moisture-laden hot air is forced to rise rapidly, the air eventually cools, the moisture condenses and freezes, forming ice particles and/or rain that begins to fall.

These falling ice particles (or even hail stones) collide on their way down through the cloud masses; chipping off positively and negatively charged particles. The lighter positives accumulate in the top of the cloud while the heavier negative particle hang around down low. Eventually, the charge differential gets released as lightning. The lightning strikes the ground if the positively charged particles on the ground react to the negative bottom of the cloud, first. But the majority of lightning is cloud-within-cloud or cloud-to-cloud.

San Carlos always has that RELATIVELY cool air west of it (the ocean) that also provides a bit of a buffer to this superheating.

Of course, all bets are off if something strong enough to form over the ocean approaches us. That cloud dynamic has already formed.

Last edited on Fri Aug 23rd, 2019 02:48 pm by Hook

Back To Top PM Quote Reply  

 Posted: Fri Aug 23rd, 2019 03:20 pm
  PM Quote Reply
20th Post
frankie
Member


Joined: Fri Sep 1st, 2017
Location:  
Posts: 887
Status: 
Offline
Mana: 
hook, that has to be the best explanation of why it seems to rain all around us but not here! it makes sense and answers my questions of the phenomenon! thanks!!!

Last edited on Fri Aug 23rd, 2019 03:24 pm by frankie

Back To Top PM Quote Reply

Current time is 03:03 pm Page:    1  2  Next Page Last Page    
San Carlos, Sonora, Mexico Forums > Topical Forums > San Carlos Forum > Possible storm on the horizon Top




UltraBB 1.172 Copyright © 2007-2014 Data 1 Systems