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 Moderated by: bartmanaz Page:  First Page Previous Page  1  2  3  Next Page Last Page  
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New storm developing  Rate Topic 
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 Posted: Mon Sep 30th, 2019 03:24 pm
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Hook
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Mana: 
Still relatively calm in Mazatlan.
the low appears to be SW of the city. Some gusts to 25 but generally winds below 10. No recorded rain yet.

The wait continues.........

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 Posted: Mon Sep 30th, 2019 03:25 pm
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RichD
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Good point about the forward speed. The faster it goes by the less time is has to dump rain. Narda was cooking along at 20mph, still at 15mph. Part of the uncertainty thing is forward speed. A high pressure ridge in it's path could put the brakes on. Narda may turn out to be a dud but I would not get the jet skis out just yet.

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 Posted: Mon Sep 30th, 2019 03:35 pm
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Hook
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That's an interesting article, Bullshipper. Accuweather is right that the Saffir-Simpson Scale is too limited in measuring the impact of a cyclone.

In reading the description of Narda, they have it listed as the lowest level (I) of their new RealImpact scale. The article does point out that even a tropical storm can have a value of five (V), when combining moisture content, winds, storm surge, etc.

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 Posted: Mon Sep 30th, 2019 04:43 pm
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Hook
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Still not much happening in Maz. Avg wind speed is up to 15mph, with gusts to 25. No rain, so far.

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 Posted: Mon Sep 30th, 2019 05:54 pm
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MARIGOT
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The Sayulita web cam shows larger than normal surf today, so they are still experiencing the impact of Narda there.


https://www.sayulita.com/webcam.html

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 Posted: Mon Sep 30th, 2019 05:57 pm
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RichD
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Thanks Marigot, looks like the surfers are having fun. Not that bad really.  Looking at the latest models on eebmike, they are now all over the place.  

Last edited on Mon Sep 30th, 2019 06:00 pm by RichD

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 Posted: Mon Sep 30th, 2019 07:28 pm
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frankie
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it has threaded the needle! looking at satellite images, to me it looks like it may shear eastward inland in the Los Mochcis area!  
probably to early to predict yet!


p.s. there are white caps on the water 11:30 am monday!

Last edited on Mon Sep 30th, 2019 07:33 pm by frankie

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 Posted: Mon Sep 30th, 2019 08:39 pm
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Hook
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Looks like the winds creating the whitecaps are the frequent WNW winds. Probably not related to Narda.

She is back to being a tropical storm; upgraded from a depression. Who knows what she will do?

I am hoping for a crash and burn around Huatabampo. Keep that moisture south of San Carlos!!!

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 Posted: Mon Sep 30th, 2019 09:34 pm
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Bullshipper
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The bugs are still bad, but I would love to see an inch of rain here.

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 Posted: Mon Sep 30th, 2019 10:23 pm
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RichD
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Saw this on youtube... PV and Mazatlan.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H0B8CoPqmgQ

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 Posted: Mon Sep 30th, 2019 10:27 pm
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frankie
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chinga tu madre, mucho agua!!!!

Last edited on Mon Sep 30th, 2019 10:27 pm by frankie

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 Posted: Mon Sep 30th, 2019 10:46 pm
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RichD
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Narda is a rainmaker! Scheduled to be over San Carlos about midnight Wednesday. Still moving fast which might be a blessing. Winds up to 50mph now. Much of it is over land and it could break up at any time. Let's hope it does not have much left by Wednesday.

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 Posted: Tue Oct 1st, 2019 12:42 am
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MARIGOT
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That’s some nasty looking flooding in the mountainous areas.
Even Mazatlán looked bad.


Hope for the best, maybe she will break up before she gets to us.  Good luck, everyone!

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 Posted: Tue Oct 1st, 2019 02:07 am
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frankie
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looks like it's over los Monchis now and still heading our way!

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 Posted: Tue Oct 1st, 2019 02:40 am
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Hook
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There is a huge chunk of moisture that has been spun off from Narda and is heading towards the Sierra Madres, NNE of Obregon. Serious orographics are going to be happening.

The hardest rain I have ever experienced in my life was up by Parque Cascadas Basaseachi up there. Nothing like tropical moisture hitting mountains that high. Little wonder many cascadas have been cut into that bowl.

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 Posted: Tue Oct 1st, 2019 04:35 am
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Jimmy
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Due to weather

Last edited on Tue Oct 1st, 2019 04:37 am by Jimmy

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 Posted: Tue Oct 1st, 2019 02:24 pm
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frankie
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frankie wrote:
it has threaded the needle! looking at satellite images, to me it looks like it may shear eastward inland in the Los Mochcis area!  
probably to early to predict yet!


p.s. there are white caps on the water 11:30 am monday!



 the only thing i know about the"weather" and "whether" or not i should post, is the difference in the spelling! twice now, merely observing the satellite videos from http://www.eebmike.com it has allowed me to make a fairly accurate opinion!
 over the years, i have always heated the advice from others and will continue in the future, "better safe than sorry!

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 Posted: Tue Oct 1st, 2019 02:51 pm
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Hook
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Nothing going on at my place. Some sustained gusts to 15 mph, early this AM, but no rainfall yet. Very light winds right now.

The bulk of the moisture appears to have traveled NE of Narda's center, overnight.

Ten days out, there is no significant rain in the forecast. Average daytime highs are still around 90F and the lows around 78-80F. Humidity levels still staying well above 50%, on average.

Certainly an improvement over mid-September. The tradition "light switch" flip date of October 15th (when humidity levels finally average well below 50%) just might happen this year. That usually coincides with the return of the traditional winter WNW winds that bring cooler air from west of Baja.

If this holds, the Days of Pollen and Bobitos are numbered.

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 Posted: Tue Oct 1st, 2019 03:17 pm
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RichD
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Looks like the moisture is already in New Mexico. just like that.. poof she was gone. Still might be breezy through tomorrow.

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 Posted: Tue Oct 1st, 2019 04:24 pm
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Bullshipper
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Mana: 
the skyies are darkening but wind is only frequently gusty

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